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Autonomous Vehicles – Brief Summary

General Information

Driverless cars are also called autonomous -, robotic – or self-driving cars/vehicles.
To guarantee independance of this car there are several sensors or integrated maps.

Surprisingly, the first idea of driverless cars already came up in the 1930s and since then, this dream was always just 20 years away.

Pro – & Contra Argumentation

There are, as always, two sides of the same coin.
Whereas Wayne Cunningham is in favour of driverless cars Antuan Goodwin is against.
Cunningham mentions arguments like

less accidents, no moving violations, transportation for the elderly, car valet is parking itself, productive use of time and always having a designated driver.

But, as mostly, there are always some negative points of the matter.
Therefore, in contrast to that, Goodwin supports his opinion by saying that

When things go wrong, they could go very wrong, Self-driving cars will still have to deal with humans in nonautonomous cars, Autonomy may actually increase congestion, Privacy potentially goes out of the window, Who’s at fault when something goes wrong?, Does driving really need to get more boring?

This man, Newt Gingrich, offers a lot of discussions on his Twitter-Account.

Examples of market leaders

As many other car manufacturers, Ford is developing the technology necessary for completely autonomous cars.
But Ford engineers claim that the car industry has already developed all the technology needed for these vehicles.
The reason why we just cannot buy them right now is that all the sensors etc. are very expensive as Jim McBride, a Ford Research and Innovation technical expert confirms:

There is no technology barrier from going where we are now to the autonomous car. There are affordability issues, but the big barrier to overcome is customer acceptance.

In Addition, AutoNews informs that Honda, Nissan and the University of Michigan are of the same opinion.
But isn’t that a very important aspect of our modern world and especially economics?

Another firm, Audi, produces prototypes of completely robotic vehicles.
Even if this is a well established firm on the car market, this prototype is not as good as thge one from google.
Nevertheless, Audi has a higher chance of “appearing on a production level” soon.

Market Introduction

Experts agree: Your next car will be smarter than you

But I think: Can the creature really be more intelligent than their creator?

Nevertheless, there is some discord with regards to the timeframe in which these clever vehicles will appear.
According to the New York Times and their report about the “Autonomously Driven Future” transportation experts agree on the statement that

self-driving cars are coming, sooner than later
and the era of the autonomous vehicle may be nigh.

Nevertheless, there are still others like Ian Riches of the research and consulting firm Strategy Analytics who think that:

We’re not going to find ourselves driving in an autonomous car tomorrow

states “The Register” offering “independent news, views, opinions and reviews on the latest in the IT industry.”
Apart from all forecasts, one cannot forget that the future is not predictable even if we have the best data as a help.

Will they first hit China?

As the Car Connection suggests, autonomous cars might propably be first purchasable in China.
They justify this thesis by stating that China is “better fit for self-driving vehicles” because of it’s ” rapidly growing auto market” an less ” legal obstacles” than in the USA.
The question that has to be considered is whether China has the financial means to introduce the car.

A blind man – flexibility is no longer a challenge

Regardless of being legally blind (nearly 95% of his vision is gone), Steve Mahan sat in a driver’s seat of a car driving itself with the help of technology.
But see for yourself:

He himself commented this incident by saying

Where this would change my life is to give me the independence and flexibility to go the places I both want to go and need to go, when I need to do those things.

Nevertheless, what is more expensive: Buying such a difficult and costly technology or hiring a driver ?

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Driverless Cars

Outline:

Driverless Cars

1st Question „What are driverless cars“
  • How do they work?
  • What are the Pros and Cons?
  • Are there any problems?

  • Which led me to the question of legality
  • Who will be liable in case of accidents?
  • Are they already legal?

  • Then I realized that my interests were opinions :
  • Who thinks what about the pros and cons?
  • Opinions of average citizens
  • Statistics reflecting the public’s opinion
  • Experts quotes

  • And searching for further expert’s opinions I found out that:
  • There is also an immense economic influence
  • There are forecasts concerning the economic development of the car market
  • There are forecasts of experts concerning the release of completely autonomous cars
  • So I started to write about that

    Forecasts

    Will the future of cars and car”drivers” look like this?
    Will We be able to do anything we want besides letting the car drive itself?

    Experts are in general in agreement about the avaiklability of completely autonomous cars on the mass market.
    Most of them agree with Ian Riches of the research and consulting firm Strategy Analytics saying:

    “We’re not going to find ourselves driving in an autonomous car tomorrow,”

    Christian Schumacher head of Continental Automotive’s Advanced Driver Assistance Systems for the NAFTA region stated:

    2025 is the timeframe where we see cars driving themselves

    >The Palm Beach Post mentions that:

    It’s a matter of when – not if – driverless cars are used

    moreover they arise questions like:

    how to insure them, how to integrate them with 20- and 30-year-old cars that still require the human touch, and how to make them affordable.

    Therefore they are of the opinion that:

    These are issues that will likely take years, if not decades, to square away.

    Whether you believe in what experts say or not depends on you.
    Nevertheless, our streets might look like this soon/later/in a decade/in a century ….


    Business Insider – Driverless Cars Will Make Intersections So Efficient It’s Scary

    Other reading matters:

  • Doctoral Thesis LEARNING TO DRIVE: PERCEPTION FOR AUTONOMOUS CARS
  • Debate – Economist
  • Book AUTOMATED VEHICLES ARE PROBABLY LEGAL IN THE UNITED STATES
  • Engineers, lawmakers prepare for driverless cars
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    Driverless Cars – Upcoming Business?

    As this statistic shows 57% of consumers (on the entire world) trust in completely automized cars.
    Moreover, the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) states that in 2040 75% of vehicles will be autonomous.

    Impact on Economy:


    Right now, it is time for businesses to be aware of this upcoming bestseller.
    As for example general motors expects a large scale production of cars being autonomous in parts in 2015 and predicts to be able to offer completely driverless cars by 2020.
    Other companies like Audi and BMW are also having concepts concerning autonomous cars.

    But to become more general, a study at Forbes predicts that revenues in car related businesses oly in the U.S. will increase by $2 Trillion a year.
    Nevertheless, this immense earnings increase also creates some disadvantages for e.g. carmakers and suppliers, auto insurers or energy companies.

    As you can see, this is an upcoming trend in technology that should not be underestimated by companies because of revenues that could be generated and challenges that have to be faced.
    Nevertheless, whether businesses want or not, they will have to deal with driverless cars in the future.

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    Driverless Cars – Share Opinions

    As we now know the advantages and disadvantages of selfdriving cars this post is going to deal with some opinions concerning this topic – maybe, YOU will find someone sharing your view of the matter.

    Here are two videos illustrating two opposing viewpoints:

    PRO: Sebastian Thrun about driverlss cars: CONTRA: Not everyone is in favour of selfdriving cars:

    Concerning the general public there are various different and contradictory opinions .

    There are comments like:

    How famous would a 13 year old hacker be who could claim he just caused the world biggest traffic accident !!

    Hey *** – I definitely agree that all of this will take a long time. By then, we may be printing our own cars out of 3D printers in our garage. 😉

    In my opinion it is like driving automatic over manual. A person that drives manual is a real driver while the person that drives automatic is just an operator.

    This Statistic reflects consumers opinions:

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    Driverless Cars

    Will they ever have the chance to influence our lifes?

    driverless car1

    Driverless Cars are a recent trend and a much debated issue these days.
    But what do YOU think about that?

    Here are some advantages and disadvantages that might help you moulding your opinion:

    PRO CON
    whider range of users (young, tired and/or disabeled people etc.) immense traffic volume
    higher efficiency (less sudden breaks or traffic jams) but more users cause higher pollution
    reduction of risk (humans make mistakes) fun of driving a car gets lost
    possibility of doing something else meanwhile (timesaving) question of liability
    better transit expansion of cities

     

    Finally, there is still the debate on legality of these vehicles.
    In case of an accident, if the system fails, WHO will be liable?

    The human “driver, the owner, the manufacturer …?